Over the last years I have often
wondered, why so much of our human-made sciences are so overly complex and
non-intuitive. Since a young child my primary instinct has always been to see the underlying foundation, thinking process, incentive and
framework on any topic, assuming that from thereon it would be possible to
logically and analytically deduct the way things should grow further. Instead,
while going to university and studying several sciences, I have found this way
of reasoning to be quite insignificant. Common sense is left somewhere behind
and a 100% left-brain approach is required: Creativity be damned. Comply and
you will succeed.
On the other hand, when it comes
to nature and nature’s laws, quite often they can be expressed with a simple
equation, like E=MC2. Also, when it comes to business, a simple idea
can turn into a monster opportunity with a basic amount of skills, creativity,
courage and asymmetrical thinking.
In today’s society, it seems to
me that honesty, accountability, transparency and simplicity have all been
sidestepped in the name of vested interests. The fear or recessions and
accountability have caused central banks around the world to hide crucial
information, cherry-pick their speeches, put out misinformation and all kind of
guerrilla tactics in the hope that no one notices what is truly going on behind
the scenes. Simply flooding the world in liquidity and freshly printed money
will surely make the problem go way, if we just wait enough time: Extend and
pretend. However, assuming that the market and the general population are
stupid in general is a slippery slope.
If we look at successful
businessman, we will see that most if not all of them have one common trait:
Brutal honesty. If we have accurate information, we will find a way to take the
right decisions, even if they will cause us mental, physical and/or financial
pain. This holds true both for decisions in networks of people, as much as it
does in our personal life. Do you run away from something, or do you run
towards something? Approaching our problems is quite often the quickest and
easiest way to cope with them and it is such a pity that we are not taught
success principals in school. Without going into this further, authors such as Robert
Kiyosaki consider this part of the “Conspiracy of the Rich”.
Economic decisions are not the sole
place where honesty is efficient. If we look deeply into politics today, we
again see that honesty and simplicity are far from the norm. Just this week, US Senator Jeff Sessions found that President Obama’s already enacted Health Law has $17 Trillion in
unfunded liabilities. Talking about political promises and vested interests.
Today’s politics are all about short-term decisions and satisfying the
consuming public.
All that is needed is to keep the
general public watching TV and voting for the guy with the best suit, biggest smile and unsustainable promises.
But it has been so wisely said
that “All good things come to an end” and history surely rhymes. History
repeats because human nature never changes. Wherever we are now, we have been
there before and “there is nothing new under the sun”. Empires rise and fall
and today it is no different – it is just a matter of time before we wake up
from our collective dream.
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